Guymon, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

806
FXUS64 KAMA 141635
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1135 AM CDT Wed May 14 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 229 AM CDT Wed May 14 2025

- Windy conditions (25-35 mph sustained westerly winds with wind
  gusts up to 50 mph) are expected across the western and central
  Panhandles today.

&&

.SHORT TERM ...
(Today through Thursday night)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Wed May 14 2025

A weather system is currently moving across the northern and
central Great Plains today. This has cause a lee trough to form
off the front range and lead to a tight pressure gradient across
the southern plains. These will drive the robust and gusty west
winds across the entire panhandles for all of today. These winds
will be capable of blowing away loose objects and make travel more
difficult especially on the N/S routes. There is a low chance for
dust to be lofted by these winds which may lead to hazy
conditions. As these winds will be westerly and downsloping they
will cause heating across the panhandles with highs remaining in
the 80s to 90s. As no moisture is associated with this weather
system dry weather remain across the panhandles. Even with the dry
and windy conditions over the panhandles fire weather conditions
are not expected as the rainfall from last week is keeping the
panhandles green. Thursday the weather system departs with a
broad trough to broad SW to NE zonal flow over the southern
plains. This will keep dry air over the panhandles keeping the
weather fair and dry. Without the weather system to drive them the
winds will weaken across the panhandles. This will mute the
downslope warming leading to cooler conditions with high dropping
to the 70s and 80s.

SH

&&

.LONG TERM ...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1013 PM CDT Tue May 13 2025

The main synoptic highway for the long term forecast period due to
the main H500-300 flow will be positioned from due west to due
east across the CONUS. This will result in our main low pressure
systems following said synoptic highway with main areas of lift
for precipitation confined to the central and northern Plains.

The most prominent low pressure feature as seen in the latest
global model and numerical data will be over the coming weekend.
In- conjunction with the trajectory of the main low pressure
across the northern Plains, the area of best H850-700 moisture
advection should favor central Oklahoma. However, some of the
latest 13/06Z model and numerical guidance does keep the main
surface dryline just east of the edge of the Caprock, which gives
the far easter Panhandles of rain chances over the weekend.
Current output only shows less than 15% chance of rain at this
time. Given the main tracks of these low pressure systems, the
Panhandles should remain mostly on the dry side with diurnally
driven gusty winds at times, especially over the coming weekend as
H500 height falls from the main system moves through the region.

High temperatures throughout the long term forecast period will
near to above average for mid May.

Meccariello

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1133 AM CDT Wed May 14 2025

VFR conditions are expected through this forecast period.
Southwesterly sustained winds of 25-30 kts are expected today with
gusts up to 40 kts at all terminals. Winds will begin to weaken
this evening and further weakening is expected overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                53  81  50  84 /   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  50  84  52  87 /   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              44  79  46  82 /   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  53  85  51  88 /   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              50  81  47  85 /   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  53  82  49  86 /   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               59  83  54  87 /   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 44  79  45  82 /   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  46  82  48  84 /   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                52  81  47  85 /   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                53  84  53  87 /   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   54  82  53  85 /   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                60  84  54  88 /   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              62  86  55  90 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...98
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...52